Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Twisted tale of hydro dreams




“Oye, aju Kati baje batti aaucha?”-This has been one of the most used sentence of Nepalese lingua Franca for the last few years especially during the winter season. On the books, we are one of the  richest country in the world in terms of hydro resources. Despite having such  abundance of hydro sources , less than 40 % of total population have access to electricity and those who do have electricity are reeling under (up to 14 hours per day) load schedule during winter.
During late 1960’s Dr Hari Man Shrestha created a buzz by declaring that Nepal possessed a theoretical hydropower potential of 83,000 MW and economic potential of 43,000 MW.Since then each and every Nepalese have dreamt of speedy harnessing of the water resources and the massive inflow of hydro dollars to the national economy. But 50 years has passed since the disclosure but nothing has been achieved (Sherchan, 2000).
This tortoise pace of development of hydropower in Nepal is in sharp contrast to the situation in the immediate neighboring countries. India has seen a rise in hydropower sector especially due to the strength of very progressive incentives which are being provided to hydro power investors by Indian government. Similarly another fellow SAARC country Bhutan with assistance from India is surging ahead in terms of hydropower development. Bhutan already exports 1500 MW of electricity to India plus it also has many new projects ready on the pipeline for implementation. As per regards hydropower development, Nepal has dismally failed in tapping this vast and ultra essential resource. What is prevailing hydro power development in Nepal? Some of the possible reasons can be:

·         Improper Planning
For a hydropower project to be fruitful there must be the availability of other supporting infrastructures as well i.e. access to the roads and transmission line for power evacuation etc. The technical and financial viability of the whole project depends on these subordinate infrastructures. But due to haphazard planning of policymakers, they fail to address all these issues which make the whole project implementation process an expensive affair. Thus, even a small hydropower project has to construct the access road and transmission line for power evacuation and bear the cost of heavy initial investment.
May be a basin policy can be the possible solution to this problem. Project infrastructure such as transportation routes, power transfer routes can be shared by all the projects (may/mayn’t be related to hydro power) within the basin. This is going to bring down the total cost and total time .

·         Fluctuating Policies
In order to promote foreign investment in hydropower sector, Government of Nepal promulgated Hydropower policy -1992 AD, Water Resources Act -1992 AD and Electricity Act 1993 AD. Those policies were very development inductive and had excellent provisions for bringing about hydropower development .Some of the major incentives were:
  • 1.       License validity of 50 Years.
  • 2.       Income Tax holiday for 15 Years.
  • 3.       After 15 years-Income Tax at the rate of 10 %, this was far below prevailing income tax rate.
  • 4.       Mere 1 % Custom duty on imported goods for the project.
  • 5.       Government of Nepal’s land was made available to the hydropower projects on lease.

Some projects like Bhotekoshi – 36 MW and Khimti – 60 MW was able to cash in during that time but later in 2001 AD Government of Nepal decided to amend the existing policies. After the whole amendment process, many of the incentives were either reduced or cancelled. I.e. scrapping of Income tax holiday for the hydropower projects, License validity was reduced to 35 years, Hydropower projects had to pay 21.5 % income tax, same as that of corporate houses. Further more, Govcernment passed the bill to make VAT applicable to all the hydropower projects above 3 MW.This resulted in immediate rise in cost of all projects by 13 %.
Thus, due to such drastic fluctuation in policies as part of Nepalese Government, many foreign investors stopped investing in hydropower projects of Nepal. This also yielded a bad name for Nepal in the global hydropower market (Sherchan, 2000).

·         Security Concerns
Hydropower projects require comparatively bulky investment .But as Nepal was constantly being eroded by various political conflicts during course of last two decade or so, thus investors were really not willing to invest in hydropower sector due to security reasons. Those who were willing also had to pay large sum for project security. After paying money also there was no assurance of complete security (Dhungel, 2011).
But now slowly with peace prevailing in Nepal, the security concerns may be sidelined and investors may feel secure about their investment, plus with new government initiations like BIPPA and DTAA there is a chance of new revival in the hydropower investment.

·         Financial Hindrances
Due to absence of technical personnel capable of analyzing and monitoring hydropower related risks and advantages, banks of Nepal are really scared of investing in hydropower sector. As electricity is related to various aspect of human life thus hydropower investment must be made a priority sector by the Nepalese banks. A technical unit must be developed inside the country to assist financial firms to provide loans to hydropower investment.

·         Social Demands
Government of Nepal donates 1 % of the total royalty paid by a hydropower project for the development of the district where hydropower project is established. But still developers are often harassed by local resident for providing various infrastructures in the area i.e. schools and bridges etc.
The whole Maoist insurgency period in Nepal was really troublesome for the developers as they had to provide various financial and social aids to them just to keep project running (Sherchan, 2000).Thus Government must make sure that that royalty being paid by the projects are utilized properly for the benefits of people of the host area , there must be a proper mechanism to check the utilization and leakage of funds while reaching the host area after being dispatched from the government . Government must also order local administration to act as a mediator between the project people and the people from host area so that people will not come up with any illegitimate demands, time and time again.

·         Technical support to the producers
Hydropower generation requires a lot of expertise and technical knowledge of various fields. Small level private projects are left with no option but to hire expensive experts from foreign countries as there is very limited number of technically skilled person in Nepal. And those available are also already engaged in government projects. The opportunities for skill development are limited to government projects only. Thus, there must be a drastic change in this attitude. Personnel from private sectors must also be provided with equal opportunities to get skillfully equipped in assisting hydropower development.

It has been realized that development can be accelerated through proper management of water and other resources. It can be the basis of making the country we live in more prosperous. Rational utilization of water can trigger numerous opportunities for both skilled and unskilled labour.Hydropower development can be the best option for utilizing water resources and providing opportunity for the nation’s unemployed and disenchanted. Hydropower development can really take our small nation into new heights of economic prosperity. Hence, it is imperative to revise our existing hydropower policy for foreign as well as domestic capital mobilization. In the way of hydropower progress, politicians have often put unnecessary barriers time and again to fulfill their vested interests. As with all aspects of the countries, as long as the political system fails to transcend these interests, hydropower sector will always remain vulnerable and as usual their will be no light at the end of the tunnel.

References
Dhungel, D. K. (2011, 02 10). Beyond Upper Tamakoshi Political will,committment lacking. The Himalayan Times , p. 8.
Gurung, J. B. (2010, 09 13). Micro-hydel projects and Ghandruk. The Himalayan Times , p. 8.
Sherchan, B. M. (2001). Hydropower development in Nepal.




10 comments:

  1. Thanks to The Lost Cause for bringing relevant topic at the forefront of the debates on Topics in Development Studies series. you have argued that Nepal has achieved very little or no significant progress in hydro-power development compared to it's neighboring countries during last 50 - 60 years backing up the argument with notable facts and reasoning. In this light do you see people making demand for their livelihood as real problem or bureaucrats lobbying for hydro dolor? Fluctuating policies or strayed politics? planning process or lack of proper intervention of what was planed earlier? lack of financial resources or lack of will power??

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  2. Thank you The Lost Cause for choosing the right topic on right time and covered all the dimension why we have failed to cash opportunity in hydroelectricity. I agree with your arguments and here just giving emphasis on political issue you have raised. The nationality issue emerged in hydro electricity from Arun III and the similar cases are going through Upper Tamakoshi, Upper Seti and so many. Many hydro-projects were disturbed during insurgency and later on the same party came in government and gave the slogan of 10,000 MW in ten years. Here I am trying to say every political parties in Nepal have dual characteristic, one when in opposition and next when in Government. Isn't it a paradox? Load-shading is not justice blind i.e. it treats everybody equal then why our politicians are interested in hydro-politics. If there is political will we can make a difference that we have seen during the tenure of hero Gokarna Bista as an Energy Minister. Political consensus and commitment is prime to utilize our hydro-electric potential in future.

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  3. But what about areas like Bhote Khosi where there are hydro plans but industries like Borderlands/Last Resort are not too pleased with the idea. They claim that they have been providing employment to the local people and have in their own way increased development in that particular area. A hydro plant would completely destroy their industry as they rely much on the water related activities (rafting, kayaking). Therefore, hydro plants could setback development in this area.

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  5. Thanks for nice article about hydro power status of Nepal.However, in Nepal, there is no serious technical problems on hydro-power generation. World's re-known human resources are working with field expertise on hydro-power system in Nepal. The problem is lack of political willingness to solve the problems.Politically, they do not want to implement technical and professional studies and recommendations on hydro-power feasibility due to political selfishness.Unless, the transformation of political power to technical professionals, it remains as it is.....a long time.

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  6. Thanks for bringing the faulty policies of government into light through this blog

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  7. thank you for writing on hydro power about Nepal.we have not and technical problem in generating the electricity but the commitment is lacking.political reason is major barrier for this and they only promises but never do.and we are very week to attract capital as well we is helping to add one more stone to the barrier wall.

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  8. First of all I would like to thank Mr DR Joshi, Arya, Red Panda, MBBK, Raviiz and Sally for pouring in with their valuable comments. I shall address each and every of your queries in sections ahead.As their are lots of queries hence I will be addressing two questions at a time.

    First let’s start with Mr. Dr Joshi:

    Fluctuating policies is a result of strayed politics and Lack of proper intervention is due to faulty planning and in Nepal’s case we lack both will power as financial resources to bring out some drastic changes .Thus you cant really segregate one major problem they are all inter related.

    Arya :

    Yes I agree with you. If there is a will then difference can be made. Power demand is highest when the generation is lowest in winter. There are no reservoir projects to store monsoon water to generate power in the dry season, hence the mismatch between demand and supply. The rising demand for power has attracted dozens of domestic and foreign private investors who have already acquired licenses but are being hampered by local obstruction. Even so, several small scale projects are already in the construction phase. The Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) alone has five projects with total installed capacity of 560 MW in the pipeline. The private sector has 17 projects with total installed capacity of 112 MW at various stages of construction. If current roadblocks are removed, most projects can be completed within five years. Another 27 projects totaling 1,093MW are waiting to start construction. The critical factor is for the government to remove bureaucratic and financial hurdles and to address local opposition in its prestige projects like Upper Tama Koshi, Chamelia, Kulekhani III, Senjen and Trishuli.

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  10. Red Panda:

    Yes, you are right creating a hydro project in a river with touristic benefits can snatch away various benefits being enjoyed by the local people via tourism and stuff but I guess creating hydro project is not a bad deal at all, as it generates much more economic and social benefits for the local people as well as the nation compared to tourism projects. Here, we are talking about need of the whole nation, you cant say no to a hydro project just because a bunch of people are complaining, you have to look at the bigger picture plus in case of country like Nepal with abundant hydro resources, you can always choose another location [River], its not that we lack natural resources, it’s the political will and financial resources that is bothering us.



    MBBK :
    I disagree with you regarding technical efficiency of our nation. Efficiency is not reflected by quantity but by the quality in case of hydro sector. If you look at the amount of engineers then we may be technically sound but if we look at the quality we are not. Yes, we do have many engineers but the problem is they don’t have any practical experience and theory based knowledge isn’t sufficient and right now seeing the ever increasing load shedding and weak financial economy I guess we are not in a state to gamble with them. Owing to huge investment that hydro project demands no investor will want to experiment with the newcomers. Right now we have no option but to hire dome foreign experts and blend them with local engineers at the mean time. May be after sometime when the engineers working right now get bit of practical exposure and magnitude of load shedding problem decreases we can initiate a project solely on local engineers. And also technical aspect is not only about number of engineers and stuff it also concerns about machineries and equipment and in that sector also we are lacking.
    Regarding the later half of your comment .Yes, surely good political commitment on hydro sectors can open various doors for development of Nepal not only in hydro sector but in other sectors as well.

    Ravizz and Sally:
    I guess your queries have already been addressed in above comments.

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